Overview:

Analysts attributed this uptick to weather concerns in Vietnam—the world’s largest Robusta producer—where heavy rains from Typhoon Baloi have caused flooding in key coffee-growing regions, disrupting farm activities and limiting supply.

Farmgate coffee prices in Uganda have remained stable this week, even as Robusta and Arabica prices posted gains on the international market, according to the Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries (MAAIF) Daily Coffee Market Analysis Report released on October 6, 2025.

On the global scene, Robusta coffee futures at the London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (LIFFE) closed higher across all positions on Friday. The November contract rose by US$197 to US$4,527 per tonne, while the January 2026 position gained US$186, closing at US$4,522 per tonne. Analysts attributed this uptick to weather concerns in Vietnam—the world’s largest Robusta producer—where heavy rains from Typhoon Baloi have caused flooding in key coffee-growing regions, disrupting farm activities and limiting supply.

Similarly, Arabica coffee futures at the Inter Continental Exchange (ICE) registered price gains. The December 2025 contract closed at US¢390.75 per pound, despite a slight dip of 12.65 cents from the previous close. March and May 2026 futures stood at US¢374.15 and US¢362.50, respectively. The report cited dry weather and rising temperatures in Brazil’s coffee belt as major factors supporting higher prices, as heat stress could impact flowering and yield prospects for the upcoming 2026/27 crop.

Back home, farmgate prices for coffee in Uganda remained stable across major categories. According to MAAIF data, FAQ coffee traded between UGX 13,000–13,500 per kilo, Kiboko between UGX 6,300–6,800, Arabica parchment between UGX 14,000–15,000, and Drugar (clean) between UGX 13,000–14,000 per kilo.

Indicative export prices also reflected strong performance, with Bugisu AA Arabica fetching US¢385.75 per pound (UGX 29,374/kg), and Robusta Screen 18 averaging US¢221.68 per pound (UGX 16,880/kg).

Despite the global fluctuations, Uganda’s domestic coffee market has remained relatively steady, supported by consistent demand and strong export performance. However, traders and farmers are keeping a close eye on weather developments in key producing countries, which could influence price trends in the coming weeks.

The sustained rise in international coffee prices presents a positive outlook for Uganda’s coffee sector, potentially boosting export revenues if current trends persist.